Ever since Components 1 reintroduced ground-effect underbody aerodynamics into its ruleset, Mercedes has unwittingly ensconced itself throughout the pitfalls that the aero overhaul had laid out.
A sequence of design course modifications over the previous three years have introduced glimmers of hope with every new automobile, however in every time Mercedes has tripped itself up with inconsistencies in automobile traits.
The Brackley squad is hoping that unhealthy luck, per the overall consensus, is available in threes; George Russell believes that the incoming W16 – as a consequence of be launched previous to the Bahrain pre-season check – ought to clear any of the “traps” of which the crew has beforehand fallen foul.
At F1’s seventy fifth anniversary launch occasion, Russell defined that the crew had maybe been responsible of turning into too blinkered by fixing the issues that had turn into obvious, with restricted foresight into the implications that any design modifications had.
This stretches again to its problematic W13, its first iteration of equipment developed for the present technology of automobiles. As Russell defined, the crew “could not unpick what was bouncing and what had been poor traits throughout the automobile”, resulting in a prolonged battle in opposition to the 2022 automobile’s propensity to unlock its pure heave frequency in spine-shattering trend.
The crew then determined that its slimline sidepods weren’t the way in which to go, as an alternative choosing a extra standard set of sidepods part-way via the follow-up W14’s growth course of in 2023.
George Russell, Mercedes W13
Photograph by: Carl Bingham / Motorsport Photographs
As soon as it had appeared to unravel that via altering the automobile’s aerodynamic properties, it discovered that its suspension format was not conducive to getting probably the most out of the underbody aero and the crew spent that yr operating the automobile barely larger up versus its rivals.
It felt empowered to run the automobile decrease in 2024, having labored on that suspension subject – however Russell then famous that this produced a knock-on impact of inducing inconsistent stability.
“These items, it does simply take time,” Russell defined. “And I believe when one thing clicks and one thing works, you generally additionally do not know fairly why that’s – we went to Vegas final yr and dominated.
“I would like to let you know precisely why that’s. We have got some concepts why that could possibly be, however there’s not like a silver bullet saying that’s the reason why we had been so sturdy there, and the rationale we had been so weak elsewhere. However I believe that is the case with everybody – even McLaren, prime instance: I do not suppose even they believed they may discover efficiency that they did.
“It is simply all started working collectively. However I am way more assured we’re not going to fall right into a lure as we’ve within the earlier years.”
With infinite time, engineering an answer to an issue ought to include an exploration of its side-effects. F1 groups haven’t got that luxurious; lead instances are quick and expectations are of a direct repair.
That lends credence to Russell’s assertion that “we have been so centered on fixing the issue, we weren’t waiting for what future points it could trigger”. Consider it like Whack-A-Mole – you knock one mole down, and one other springs up…

George Russell, Mercedes, Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes
Photograph by: Getty Photographs
There may be anecdotal proof of the simulation instruments that F1 groups use not exhibiting the complete image; given the restriction of wind tunnel scales and air speeds, allied to the shortage of testing underneath fully sensible situations, sure flaws are glossed over by the information.
Can a crew realistically construct a totally full aero map if a wind tunnel or CFD simulation cannot enable for a automobile to yaw at 200mph? Definitely not. It could possibly supply hints, however a automobile’s traits are dynamic and thus points can generally solely crop up when it hits the circuit in anger.
For Mercedes, 2025 will should be an train in broadening the engineers’ minds past the unique face-value points. If it modifications the suspension traits, how will that have an effect on the chassis response? How will it have an effect on the aero stability? Do extra issues seem in consequence?
It isn’t that Mercedes hasn’t thought of all of these issues however, in making an attempt to press an answer in place, maybe the considering is that it would have the ability to mitigate no matter penalties happen with set-up – solely, to seek out out that they are points that require extra consideration than a bit of additional toe-in or camber within the regular free-practice tinkering.
“Once you’re altering traits of the automobile and the way it should deal with and the way it should really feel for us driving it, when you make the entrance stronger, it is going to remove from the rear. And when you go too far, that is simply as a lot of an issue in the wrong way,” Russell added.
“So I believe it is actually being thorough within the centre. These are the elemental modifications we will make. We expect it should do X. Is that going to be an issue at these races? And in that case, how are we going to drive round it?”
Mercedes, per Russell, feels that its incoming W16 ought to be a extra amenable chassis that does not find yourself being fairly so capricious at a sure vary of circuits. For his personal ambitions, Russell will hope that the brand new automobile is not fairly such a high-wire act to grasp – for beginner Andrea Kimi Antonelli, a impartial automobile is one of the best platform for him to study – and ply – his commerce.
Though the Silver Arrows could find yourself turning into one of many groups that pins its attentions on 2026 early, relying on how the early rounds go, it must a minimum of shut 2025 having not solely absolutely understood these “traps” it has unwittingly walked into beforehand, but in addition evaded with its last effort on this guidelines cycle.
On this article
Jake Boxall-Legge
Components 1
George Russell
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
Mercedes
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